Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 115.379605 127.777818 140.553041 154.672729 169.813084 185.533186 203.061301
2024-10-06 99.846712 118.755324 139.232926 162.936195 189.493708 218.210552 251.486005
2024-10-13 85.760183 109.185989 135.765698 167.848993 205.211005 247.038110 297.084636
2024-10-20 71.781382 97.773134 128.633992 167.390068 214.154154 268.162852 334.628945
2024-10-27 60.794828 88.399318 122.620358 167.197665 222.733232 288.655123 371.777701
2024-11-03 54.505751 84.015746 122.012019 173.081142 238.429390 317.764624 419.782620
2024-11-10 48.575226 79.278465 120.282928 177.045122 251.495326 343.747417 464.478754
2024-11-17 43.815705 75.498662 119.283153 181.551735 265.057430 370.419141 510.441578
2024-11-24 40.077697 72.685456 119.203700 187.007301 279.763089 398.683356 558.862613
2024-12-01 33.564552 64.897612 111.381321 181.171885 278.921925 406.608939 581.286726
2024-12-08 28.900681 59.378818 106.274799 178.611877 282.089002 419.505897 610.059574
2024-12-15 25.791059 55.990483 103.996187 179.814777 290.260022 439.002989 647.630254
2024-12-22 23.427412 53.668453 103.269787 183.374134 302.051078 463.957490 693.425854
2024-12-29 22.032064 52.904519 104.929414 190.552482 319.215164 496.636726 750.262608
2025-01-05 20.191419 51.083242 104.703637 194.768094 332.158859 523.769247 800.150931
2025-01-12 17.595335 47.445623 101.132678 193.501259 336.898973 539.508013 834.773492
2025-01-19 15.416921 44.306653 98.111074 192.846785 342.386956 556.274919 870.977566
2025-01-26 14.490958 43.656745 99.374147 199.117161 358.427684 588.255648 928.679138
2025-02-02 13.369174 42.413304 99.443844 203.355091 371.397945 616.012517 980.867785
2025-02-09 12.439879 41.461618 99.941363 208.252039 385.420064 645.441081 1035.731997
2025-02-16 11.716052 40.886317 101.079389 214.231067 401.225803 677.685554 1094.985555
2025-02-23 9.712382 36.825200 95.178948 207.745173 397.083634 680.526582 1112.457209
2025-03-02 8.325318 34.043483 91.510704 204.893936 398.522512 691.487974 1141.536729